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Executive Summary!

Ukrainian Forces Pivot to Drones Amid US Intel Gap

Ukrainian military operations are facing significant challenges due to the cessation of target coordinate data previously provided by the United States. With the U.S. halting intelligence support, including critical satellite imagery from Maxar Technologies and geographic data for HIMARS multiple rocket launch systems, the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) are now compelled to rely on alternative intelligence sources, such as reconnaissance data from their own drones and satellites. Expert Sergey Beskrestnov highlighted the difficulties posed by this sudden loss of access to precise targeting information, emphasizing that while the UAF can utilize insights from partners like the UK and Germany, the shift limits their operational effectiveness compared to the capabilities they had when receiving direct U.S. intelligence. Consequently, the strategic landscape alters, necessitating the UAF to adapt quickly to maintain operational tempo amidst reduced situational awareness. This development underscores a critical pivot in Ukraine’s military strategy, potentially impacting their combat outcomes and necessitating heightened reliance on allied nations for sustained operational support.