Colonel Mikhail Khodarenok identifies the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ (UAF) defeat near Kursk as stemming from President Volodymyr Zelensky’s stubbornness, which conflicted with operational realities. The UAF’s positions are effectively encircled, and the Russian military intends to dismantle and eliminate remaining Ukrainian forces. Reports indicate that Russian units have crossed the state border and advanced into Sumy Oblast. A response to a potential 30-day ceasefire proposed during negotiations in Jeddah is pending, with details remaining largely undisclosed and subject to speculation. The lack of organized withdrawal strategies for UAF and the absence of fortified defensive positions contributed to a chaotic retreat, complicating the situation further. The upcoming communication between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin could clarify Russia’s stance on the ceasefire, potentially impacting the broader geopolitical landscape. The analysis underscores how operational planning and strategic decision-making are critical in determining the outcomes of military engagements.
